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GLOBAL CAPITAL FLOWS 2025: WHERE CRE MONEY IS MOVING NEXT

Global capital is finally moving again and it’s moving with intention.
After two years of sitting on the sidelines, sovereign wealth funds, private equity groups, and pension giants are repositioning for the next cycle.
But they’re not returning to the same assets, the same markets, or the same structures as before.
Here’s the 2025 money map: who’s buying, what they want, and where capital is flowing now.

U.S. Industrial Leads Global Allocation Plans
International investors are quietly increasing exposure to U.S. logistics.
Why? Because pricing has softened just enough to re-open deals that were impossible in 2022–2023.
Key drivers:
Normalizing cap rates creating real entry points
E-commerce volume now back on a multi-year growth path
Nearshoring driving new supply chain hubs
Strong tenant retention across Class A industrial
Top targets: Dallas, Houston, Savannah, Phoenix, Inland Empire (selectively).

Europe’s Office Reset Is Attracting Deep-Value Capital
Office values in major EU markets have corrected 20–45%, and global capital sees this as a rare repositioning window.
Most active strategies:
Converting outdated offices into hybrid-ready workspaces
Sustainability-focused redevelopments
Distressed acquisition + capex repositioning
Partial conversions to mixed-use
Where the money is heading: London, Paris, Madrid, Berlin.
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Middle Eastern Sovereign Funds Expand Their U.S. Strategy
Gulf capital is on track for its largest outbound CRE year since 2019.
Primary targets:
Class A & B multifamily in the Sun Belt
Medical office
Student housing
Infrastructure-linked real estate (data centers, logistics, energy-adjacent assets)
The strategy: long-term income + strong demographics.
Asia-Pacific Investors Hunt for “Yield Gaps” in Secondary U.S. Cities
Singaporean, Japanese, and Korean capital are shifting away from gateway markets and toward high-growth mid-size cities.
Most attractive asset classes:
Value-add multifamily
Grocery-anchored retail
Mixed-use redevelopment opportunities
Cities on their radar: Charlotte, Tampa, Indianapolis, Raleigh, Phoenix.
The Biggest Structural Shift: Direct Co-Investments
Instead of blind-pool funds, cross-border groups are moving toward deal-by-deal partnerships with local operators.
Why this model is exploding:
Better fee efficiency
Improved alignment
Faster deployment in distressed situations
Higher conviction in asset selection
Expect co-investments to dominate 2025–2027 global deal structures.
MARKET SNAPSHOT — GLOBAL QUICK HITS
Japan’s intervention has increased capital availability for outbound CRE.
Private credit is now the primary financing source for cross-border deals.
U.S. retail transaction volume is quietly at its highest level since 2021.
European debt funds are raising aggressively to target distressed markets.
Money tells you where the market is heading long before the headlines do.
Right now, global capital is positioning for a multi-year real estate opportunity—quietly, strategically, and fast.
We’ll keep tracking every move.
Thanks for reading Mainstreet News.
See you next week.

